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- đ„đ Micron Down 30% â Buy Before It Rockets! đ
đ„đ Micron Down 30% â Buy Before It Rockets! đ
Let me take you through the latest developments with Micron Technology (MU) because if youâre anything like me, youâve been keeping an eye on this stock through its roller-coaster ride in 2024. Itâs been a wild year for memory chips, and Micron is no exception. After a significant dip earlier this year, the question on everyone's mind is, âIs Micron oversold, or is there still juice left in this stock?â
I believe Micron is currently offering a rare opportunityâits stock is down over 30% from its June highs, and after digging into the companyâs most recent earnings report, Iâm convinced itâs a solid buy. But before we jump to conclusions, let me walk you through the numbers and the story behind why Iâm so bullish on Micron.
Micronâs Q4 BlowoutâThe Numbers That Matter
First, letâs talk about Micronâs recent earnings. I have to say, I was impressed. The company posted fiscal Q4 revenue of $7.75 billionâa whopping 93% year-over-year increase! Their EPS of $1.18 smashed the market expectations and is an impressive comeback from the $1.07 loss in the same period last year. The key driver? Artificial intelligence. AI-driven demand for DRAM chips and NAND flash memory pushed Micronâs data center SSD sales to over $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time in the company's history. Thatâs a huge milestone.
To put things in perspective, memory chip demand had been suffering from one of the worst supply-demand imbalances in over a decade. Micron was hit hard in early 2024. But hereâs the kicker: the company has now emerged stronger, riding the AI wave.
For Q1 fiscal 2025, Micron has guided revenue to be around $8.7 billion, and they expect earnings per share (EPS) to be $1.74, blowing past analyst expectations once again. If that doesnât give you confidence in their outlook, I donât know what will.
The AI Gold RushâMicronâs Golden Ticket
We canât talk about Micron without talking about artificial intelligence. AI is the future, and Micron is perfectly positioned to ride this mega-trend. The companyâs data center DRAM and high-bandwidth memory are key components for AI servers, which are becoming the backbone of cloud computing, machine learning, and automation technologies.
Take this: according to Gartner, AI chip demand is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45% through 2028. And who stands to benefit the most from this surge in demand? You guessed itâMicron.
Automotive demand is also playing a role. Micronâs chips are embedded in autonomous driving technologies, and this market is only getting started. As vehicles get smarter and more connected, memory chips like those produced by Micron will see a surge in demand. In fact, automotive is expected to account for 15% of Micronâs revenue by the end of 2025. This AI and automotive mix is a recipe for long-term success.
Is Micron Really Oversold? The Stock's Journey
Now, letâs tackle the elephant in the roomâMicronâs stock price. As of October 2024, the stock is trading around $105, down significantly from its June highs of $155. But hereâs whatâs fascinating: despite the sell-off, Wall Street analysts have set price targets averaging around $143, representing a potential upside of over 30%. Thatâs significant.
One reason for the recent dip is concerns over inventory levels and the broader semiconductor market, which has been soft due to macroeconomic conditions. But hereâs where I think Micron has an edge. The company has been very smart about cutting back production to manage supply and avoid a glut in the market. This move has helped them maintain pricing power, particularly for their high-margin products like DRAM. In a cyclical industry like semiconductors, timing your entry is critical, and with Micron, it feels like weâre approaching the sweet spot for a buy.
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Whatâs the Outlook?
Micronâs CEO, Sanjay Mehrotra, summed it up best during the recent earnings call: âWe are entering fiscal 2025 with the best competitive positioning in Micron's history.â Thatâs a bold statement, but when you look at their Q1 guidance, you realize why. The company is expecting record revenue for fiscal Q1 and a substantial revenue boost throughout 2025.
The real growth kicker, though, will be in 2025 when the full impact of AI, automotive, and industrial automation starts to reflect on the bottom line. Moreover, the memory market is cyclical, and we are on the verge of an upturn. If Micron can ride this wave, I believe it will outperform significantly in the coming quarters.
Buy, Hold, or Sell? Hereâs My Take
If youâre asking me whether to buy, hold, or sell Micron, hereâs my take: Buy. And hereâs why. The stock is trading at a discount due to macro concerns that are already being managed, and the long-term trends in AI and autonomous vehicles are just getting started.
Micronâs leadership in DRAM and NAND technologies gives it a competitive edge, and its smart production management will help sustain margins even during market downturns. With Wall Street price targets suggesting 30% upside from current levels, Micron presents a compelling buying opportunity for anyone looking to capitalize on the AI revolution.
So, if youâre looking for a stock thatâs temporarily beaten down but poised for significant gains, Micron is one you should seriously consider adding to your portfolio. Time to go shopping while itâs still on sale.
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